Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SKA-Khabarovsk win with a probability of 41.39%. A draw had a probability of 30.4% and a win for Veles had a probability of 28.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a SKA-Khabarovsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.78%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.18%) , while for a Veles win it was 0-1 (10.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.