Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SKA-Khabarovsk win with a probability of 37.43%. A win for AGMK had a probability of 34.01% and a draw had a probability of 28.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a SKA-Khabarovsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.36%) and 2-0 (6.4%). The likeliest AGMK win was 0-1 (10.61%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.