Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Consadole Sapporo win with a probability of 47.84%. A win for Ryūkyū had a probability of 27.39% and a draw had a probability of 24.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Consadole Sapporo win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.53%) and 0-2 (7.71%). The likeliest Ryūkyū win was 2-1 (6.89%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.