Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Unia Skierniewice win with a probability of 60.3%. A draw had a probability of 21.48% and a win for Pogon Siedlce had a probability of 18.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Unia Skierniewice win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (10.03%) and 0-2 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.68%) , while for a Pogon Siedlce win it was 2-1 (5.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.