Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Unia Skierniewice win with a probability of 47.03%. A win for Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki had a probability of 29.94% and a draw had a probability of 23.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Unia Skierniewice win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.63%) and 0-2 (6.08%). The likeliest Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki win was 2-1 (7.12%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.