Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mačva Šabac win with a probability of 51.44%. A draw had a probability of 26.82% and a win for Novi Pazar had a probability of 21.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mačva Šabac win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.1%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.28%) , while for a Novi Pazar win it was 0-1 (8.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.