Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lokomotiv Tashkent win with a probability of 41.16%. A draw had a probability of 29.78% and a win for KAMAZ had a probability of 29.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lokomotiv Tashkent win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.74%) and 0-2 (7.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.5%) , while for a KAMAZ win it was 1-0 (9.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.