Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grafičar win with a probability of 45.2%. A draw had a probability of 27.64% and a win for KAMAZ had a probability of 27.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grafičar win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.75%) and 0-2 (8.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.56%) , while for a KAMAZ win it was 1-0 (9.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.