Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jubilo Iwata win with a probability of 52.72%. A draw had a probability of 24.97% and a win for Azul Claro Numazu had a probability of 22.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jubilo Iwata win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.04%) and 2-0 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.88%) , while for a Azul Claro Numazu win it was 0-1 (6.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.