Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Indy Eleven win with a probability of 54.84%. A draw had a probability of 22.72% and a win for Chicago Fire II had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Indy Eleven win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.38%) and 3-1 (6.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.94%) , while for a Chicago Fire II win it was 1-2 (5.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.