Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slovan Bratislava win with a probability of 42.37%. A win for CSKA 1948 Sofia had a probability of 34.01% and a draw had a probability of 23.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Slovan Bratislava win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.8%) and 0-2 (6.07%). The likeliest CSKA 1948 Sofia win was 2-1 (7.5%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.