Club Friendlies 3
Feb 17, 2026 12.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT JAR Stadium
  • Pletnyov 64' goal

Bunyodkor vs Gagra - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Bunyodkor

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Feb 10, 2026 2.00pm
Bunyodkor 2 - 0 Vysocina Jihlava

Gagra

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Feb 14, 2026 1.00pm
Muras United 4 - 4 Gagra

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bunyodkor win with a probability of 42.41%. A win for Gagra had a probability of 31.33% and a draw had a probability of 26.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bunyodkor win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (6.34%). The likeliest Gagra win was 1-2 (7.63%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.

Result

Bunyodkor 42.41% ▲ (+0.24)
Draw 26.27% ▲ (+0.04)
Gagra 31.33% ▼ (-0.22)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.24% ▼ (-0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.16% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 1.5 22.84% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 54.94% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 45.06% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 33.25% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 3.5 66.75% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 4.5 18.84%
Under 4.5 81.16%

First Half Winner

Bunyodkor 32.19%
Draw 45.01% ▼ (-0.02)
Gagra 22.81% ▲ (+0.02)

Team To Score First

Bunyodkor 53.4% ▲ (+0.02)
No Goal 6.76% ▲ (+0.11)
Gagra 39.84% ▼ (-0.13)

Corners

Over 8 54.01% ▲ (+0.04)
Equal 8 11.93% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 8 34.06% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 9 42.2%
Equal 9 11.81% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 9 45.99% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 10.5 31.48% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 10.5 68.52% ▲ (+0.04)

Bunyodkor Goals

Over 1.5 43.75% ▲ (+0.25)
Under 1.5 56.25% ▼ (-0.25)
Over 2.5 19.41% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 2.5 80.59% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 3.5 7.32%
Under 3.5 92.68%

Gagra Goals

Over 0.5 67.3% ▼ (-0.27)
Under 0.5 32.7% ▲ (+0.28)
Over 1.5 35.27% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 1.5 64.73% ▲ (+0.14)
Over 2.5 13.94% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 2.5 86.06% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 3.5 4.81% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 3.5 95.19% ▲ (+0.07)

Score analysis

Bunyodkor 42.4%
Draw 26.27%
Gagra 31.32%
Bunyodkor
1-0 @ 9.17% ▲ (+0.02)
2-1 @ 8.86% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 6.34% ▲ (+0.11)
3-1 @ 4.6% ▼ (-0.04)
3-0 @ 3.28% ▲ (+0.08)
3-2 @ 3.01% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 7.14%
Total : 42.4%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.67% ▼ (-0.09)
0-0 @ 6.76% ▲ (+0.11)
2-2 @ 6.46% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.2% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 26.27%
Gagra
1-2 @ 7.63% ▼ (-0.05)
0-1 @ 6.9% ▼ (-0.05)
0-2 @ 4.23% ▼ (-0.04)
1-3 @ 3.34% ▼ (-0.05)
2-3 @ 2.68% ▲ (+0.05)
0-3 @ 1.91% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 4.63% ▼ (-0.07)
Total : 31.32%