Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Muras United win with a probability of 45.57%. A win for Gagra had a probability of 28.51% and a draw had a probability of 25.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Muras United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (6.8%). The likeliest Gagra win was 0-1 (6.77%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%).