Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Van win with a probability of 38.9%. A win for Ararat had a probability of 33.11% and a draw had a probability of 28.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Van win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.05%) and 0-2 (6.44%). The likeliest Ararat win was 1-0 (9.31%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.