Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Van win with a probability of 37.96%. A win for BKMA had a probability of 36.08% and a draw had a probability of 25.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Van win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.85%) and 0-2 (5.92%). The likeliest BKMA win was 1-0 (8.66%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.