Conference League Gameweek 1
Oct 15, 2026 8.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 1
FT Europa-Park Stadion
  • Vincenzo Grifo 15' goal
  • Dusan Pavlovic 53' goal
  • Maximilian Eggestein 65' goal
  • Patrick Osterhage 72' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nemanja Tekijaski 14'
  • goal Antonin Rusek 28'
  • yellowcard Nelson Okeke 63'
  • yellowcard Dominik Hollý 77'
  • goal Garang Kuol 90'+3'

Freiburg vs FK Baumit Jablonec - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Freiburg

All competitions

FK Baumit Jablonec

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 56.56%. A draw had a probability of 22.92% and a win for FK Baumit Jablonec had a probability of 20.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.78%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.79%) , while for a FK Baumit Jablonec win it was 0-1 (5.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.

Result

Freiburg 56.56% ▼ (-0.05)
Draw 22.92% ▼ (-0.03)
FK Baumit Jablonec 20.48% ▲ (+0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.22% ▲ (+0.18)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.76% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 1.5 23.24% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 2.5 53.09% ▲ (+0.18)
Under 2.5 46.91% ▼ (-0.18)
Over 3.5 31.29% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 3.5 68.71% ▼ (-0.14)
Over 4.5 19.16% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 4.5 80.84% ▼ (-0.07)

First Half Winner

Freiburg 36.87%
Draw 42.01% ▼ (-0.11)
FK Baumit Jablonec 21.12% ▲ (+0.11)

Team To Score First

Freiburg 56.69% ▲ (+0.02)
No Goal 6.35% ▼ (-0.06)
FK Baumit Jablonec 36.96% ▲ (+0.04)

Corners

Over 8 55.89% ▲ (+0.03)
Equal 8 12.02%
Under 8 32.1% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 9 43.81% ▲ (+0.02)
Equal 9 12.07%
Under 9 44.11% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 10.5 32.72% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 10.5 67.28% ▼ (-0.02)

Freiburg Goals

Over 1.5 53.06% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 46.94% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 27.31% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 2.5 72.69% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 3.5 11.5% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 88.5% ▼ (-0.04)

FK Baumit Jablonec Goals

Over 0.5 55.24% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 0.5 44.76% ▼ (-0.15)
Over 1.5 23.38% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 1.5 76.62% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 2.5 7.53% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 2.5 92.47% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 3.5 2.14% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 97.86% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Freiburg 56.56%
Draw 22.92%
FK Baumit Jablonec 20.49%
Freiburg
1-0 @ 10.97% ▼ (-0.07)
2-0 @ 9.78% ▼ (-0.07)
2-1 @ 9.55% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 6.24% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 5.63% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 3% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 11.39% ▲ (+0.04)
Total : 56.56%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.79%
0-0 @ 6.35% ▼ (-0.06)
2-2 @ 4.73% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 22.92%
FK Baumit Jablonec
0-1 @ 5.89%
1-2 @ 5.02% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 3.1% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.77% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.69% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.03% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 20.49%