/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F41%2Ftwelog.png)
-
Ruud Nijstad
34'
-
Ruud Nijstad
62'
-
Sondre Ørjasæter
76'
-
Daouda Weidmann
82'
-
Lelê
39'
-
Lelê
40'
-
Lelê
64'
FC Twente vs Pafos FC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2Fuploads%2F2026%2F10%2Fsondre-orjasaeter-daouda-weidmann-wout-weghorst-filip-thorvaldsen-and-younes-taha-celebrate-fc-twente-s-goal-on-september-12-2026-vincent-jannink-anp-6ad1d505ab161394200081.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 60.2%. A draw had a probability of 21.43% and a win for Pafos FC had a probability of 18.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.4%) and 2-1 (9.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.21%) , while for a Pafos FC win it was 0-1 (5.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
Result
FC Twente
60.2%
Draw
21.43%
▼
(-0.04)
Pafos FC
18.3%
Both Teams to Score:
51.09%
Goals
Over 1.5
76.6%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 1.5
23.4%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 2.5
53.34%
Under 2.5
46.66%
Over 3.5
31.3%
Under 3.5
68.7%
Over 4.5
19.8%
Under 4.5
80.2%
First Half Winner
FC Twente
45.72%
Draw
35.91%
Pafos FC
18.37%
Team To Score First
FC Twente
62.52%
▲
(+0.02)
No Goal
6.15%
▼
(-0.01)
Pafos FC
31.33%
Corners
Over 8
60.12%
Equal 8
10.94%
Under 8
28.93%
Over 9
48.77%
Equal 9
11.36%
Under 9
39.88%
Over 10.5
37.93%
Under 10.5
62.07%
FC Twente Goals
Over 1.5
55.31%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 1.5
44.69%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 2.5
29.17%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 2.5
70.83%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 3.5
12.86%
Under 3.5
87.14%
Pafos FC Goals
Over 0.5
52.5%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 0.5
47.5%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 1.5
20.81%
Under 1.5
79.19%
Over 2.5
5.97%
Under 2.5
94.03%
Over 3.5
1.55%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 3.5
98.45%
▼
(-0.01)
Score analysis
FC Twente
60.2%
Draw
21.44%
Pafos FC
18.3%
FC Twente
1-0
@
11.43%
▼
(-0.01)
2-0 @ 10.4%
2-1 @ 9.96%
3-0 @ 6.61%
3-1 @ 5.76%
3-2 @ 3.19%
Other @ 12.85%
Total : 60.2%
2-0 @ 10.4%
2-1 @ 9.96%
3-0 @ 6.61%
3-1 @ 5.76%
3-2 @ 3.19%
Other @ 12.85%
Total : 60.2%
Draw
1-1
@
10.21%
▼
(-0.01)
0-0 @ 6.15% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.32%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 21.44%
0-0 @ 6.15% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.32%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 21.44%
Pafos FC
0-1
@
5.76%
1-2 @ 4.68%
0-2 @ 2.65%
2-3 @ 1.46%
1-3 @ 1.42%
Other @ 1.54% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 18.3%
1-2 @ 4.68%
0-2 @ 2.65%
2-3 @ 1.46%
1-3 @ 1.42%
Other @ 1.54% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 18.3%