FA Cup
Oct 6, 2026 7.45pm
1
3
HT : 1 2
FT The Maurice Rebak Stadium (London)
  • Ashley Nzala 45' goal
  • goal Louie McDonagh-Kudiabor 5'
  • goal George Moncur 43'
  • goal Louie McDonagh-Kudiabor 57'

Wingate & Finchley vs Bedford - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Wingate & Finchley

All competitions

Bedford

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bedford win with a probability of 44.18%. A win for Wingate & Finchley had a probability of 33.36% and a draw had a probability of 22.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bedford win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.39%) and 0-2 (7.04%). The likeliest Wingate & Finchley win was 2-1 (7.8%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.

Result

Wingate & Finchley 33.36% ▼ (-0.54)
Draw 22.46% ▼ (-2.54)
Bedford 44.18% ▲ (+3.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.47% ▼ (-1.83)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.9% ▲ (+1.41)
Under 1.5 21.1% ▼ (-1.40)
Over 2.5 56.31% ▲ (+2.42)
Under 2.5 43.69% ▼ (-2.42)
Over 3.5 32.29% ▲ (+0.69)
Under 3.5 67.71% ▼ (-0.70)
Over 4.5 19.83% ▲ (+2.02)
Under 4.5 80.17% ▼ (-2.02)

First Half Winner

Wingate & Finchley 28.71% ▲ (+28.71)
Draw 38.52% ▲ (+38.53)
Bedford 32.78% ▲ (+32.78)

Team To Score First

Wingate & Finchley 42.65% ▲ (+42.65)
No Goal 5.48% ▲ (+5.48)
Bedford 51.87% ▲ (+51.87)

Corners

Over 8 65.05% ▲ (+65.05)
Equal 8 10.4% ▲ (+10.40)
Under 8 24.55% ▲ (+24.55)
Over 9 53.83% ▲ (+53.83)
Equal 9 11.22% ▲ (+11.22)
Under 9 34.95% ▲ (+34.96)
Over 10.5 42.73% ▲ (+42.73)
Under 10.5 57.27% ▲ (+57.27)

Wingate & Finchley Goals

Over 1.5 35.34% ▼ (-1.01)
Under 1.5 64.66% ▲ (+1.01)
Over 2.5 14.75% ▲ (+0.33)
Under 2.5 85.25% ▼ (-0.32)
Over 3.5 4.85% ▲ (+0.22)
Under 3.5 95.15% ▼ (-0.22)

Bedford Goals

Over 0.5 74.74% ▲ (+0.51)
Under 0.5 25.26% ▼ (-0.51)
Over 1.5 44.55% ▲ (+2.27)
Under 1.5 55.45% ▼ (-2.27)
Over 2.5 20.98% ▲ (+2.61)
Under 2.5 79.02% ▼ (-2.61)
Over 3.5 8.38% ▲ (+1.91)
Under 3.5 91.62% ▼ (-1.90)

Score analysis

Wingate & Finchley 33.36%
Draw 22.46%
Bedford 44.18%
Wingate & Finchley
2-1 @ 7.8% ▼ (-0.08)
1-0 @ 7.23% ▼ (-0.61)
2-0 @ 4.85% ▼ (-0.40)
3-1 @ 3.29% ▼ (-0.22)
3-0 @ 2.9% ▲ (+0.55)
3-2 @ 2.49% ▼ (-0.15)
Other @ 4.8% ▲ (+0.34)
Total : 33.36%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.71% ▼ (-1.08)
0-0 @ 5.48% ▼ (-0.37)
2-2 @ 5% ▼ (-0.88)
3-3 @ 1.22% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 0.05% ▼ (-0.13)
Total : 22.46%
Bedford
1-2 @ 9.04% ▲ (+0.24)
0-1 @ 8.39% ▼ (-0.39)
0-2 @ 7.04% ▲ (+0.46)
0-3 @ 4.28% ▲ (+1.01)
1-3 @ 4.16% ▼ (-0.23)
2-3 @ 2.94% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 8.33% ▲ (+2.03)
Total : 44.18%

Head to Head

FA Cup
Oct 3, 2026 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT The New Eyrie
  • George Moncur 39' goal
  • George Moncur 85' goal
  • goal Anointed Chukwu 29'
  • goal Anointed Chukwu 46'
  • redcard 62'