Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kettering Town win with a probability of 39.38%. A win for St Ives Town had a probability of 37.86% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kettering Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.86%) and 0-2 (4.99%). The likeliest St Ives Town win was 2-1 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kettering Town would win this match.