FA Cup

FA Cup | Third Round Qualifying

Sep 28, 2024 at 3pm UK

Westwood Road

St Ives Town
0 - 3
Kettering

FT(HT: 0-3)

Ranger (11'), Andrade (32'), Miller (36')

Coverage of the FA Cup Third Round Qualifying clash between St Ives Town and Kettering Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

St Ives Town

Last Game: St Ives Town 5-0 Berkhamsted
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in FA Cup

Kettering Town

All competitions

FA Cup

Last Game: Kettering 1-0 Cleethorpes Town
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in FA Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kettering Town win with a probability of 39.38%. A win for St Ives Town had a probability of 37.86% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kettering Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.86%) and 0-2 (4.99%). The likeliest St Ives Town win was 2-1 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kettering Town would win this match.

Result
St Ives Town	Draw	Kettering Town
37.86% ( -0.1)	22.75% ( 0.02)	39.38% ( 0.07)

Both teams to score 66.34% (

-0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.44% (

-0.13)

34.56% (

0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.5% (

-0.15)

56.49% (

0.14)

St Ives Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.11% (

-0.11)

18.89% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.63% (

-0.17)

50.36% (

0.17)

Kettering Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.79% (

-0.03)

18.21% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.77% (

-0.04)

49.22% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

St Ives Town 37.86%

Kettering Town 39.38%

Draw 22.75%

St Ives Town	Draw	Kettering Town
2-1 @ 8.14% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 5.73% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 4.78% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.52% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.85% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.65% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.88% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.6% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.11% ( -0.01) 4-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.69% Total : 37.86%	1-1 @ 9.76% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.93% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 3.44% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.44% Total : 22.75%	1-2 @ 8.31% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 5.86% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 4.99% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 4.72% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.93% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.83% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 2.01% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.68% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.21% ( 0) 3-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.92% Total : 39.38%