FA Cup
Oct 6, 2026 7.45pm
4
0
HT : 3 0
FT Sir Halley Stewart Field
  • Bartosz Cybulski 4' goal
  • Dan Jarvis 19' goal
  • Dan Barton 37' goal
  • 77' goal

Spalding United vs Bury Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Spalding United

All competitions

Bury Town

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spalding United win with a probability of 58.12%. A win for Bury Town had a probability of 22.57% and a draw had a probability of 19.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spalding United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.25%) and 2-0 (7.56%). The likeliest Bury Town win was 1-2 (5.58%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.45%).

Result

Spalding United 58.12% ▲ (+2.02)
Draw 19.31% ▼ (-1.90)
Bury Town 22.57% ▼ (-0.13)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.64% ▼ (-2.16)

Goals

Over 1.5 83.43% ▼ (-0.55)
Under 1.5 16.57% ▲ (+0.56)
Over 2.5 64.43% ▲ (+0.64)
Under 2.5 35.57% ▼ (-0.64)
Over 3.5 41.47% ▼ (-0.24)
Under 3.5 58.53% ▲ (+0.24)
Over 4.5 27.7% ▲ (+1.08)
Under 4.5 72.3% ▼ (-1.08)

First Half Winner

Spalding United 39.62% ▲ (+39.62)
Draw 39.21% ▲ (+39.21)
Bury Town 21.18% ▲ (+21.18)

Team To Score First

Spalding United 62.29% ▲ (+62.29)
No Goal 4.16% ▲ (+4.16)
Bury Town 33.55% ▲ (+33.55)

Corners

Over 8 61.39% ▲ (+61.39)
Equal 8 11.33% ▲ (+11.33)
Under 8 27.28% ▲ (+27.28)
Over 9 49.53% ▲ (+49.53)
Equal 9 11.86% ▲ (+11.86)
Under 9 38.61% ▲ (+38.61)
Over 10.5 38.19% ▲ (+38.19)
Under 10.5 61.81% ▲ (+61.81)

Spalding United Goals

Over 1.5 58.76% ▼ (-0.17)
Under 1.5 41.24% ▲ (+0.17)
Over 2.5 34.19% ▲ (+1.33)
Under 2.5 65.81% ▼ (-1.32)
Over 3.5 16.05% ▲ (+0.96)
Under 3.5 83.95% ▼ (-0.96)

Bury Town Goals

Over 0.5 57.84% ▼ (-2.77)
Under 0.5 42.16% ▲ (+2.77)
Over 1.5 29.15% ▼ (-1.04)
Under 1.5 70.85% ▲ (+1.04)
Over 2.5 11.52% ▲ (+0.18)
Under 2.5 88.48% ▼ (-0.18)
Over 3.5 4.16% ▲ (+0.62)
Under 3.5 95.84% ▼ (-0.61)

Score analysis

Spalding United 58.12%
Draw 19.31%
Bury Town 22.57%
Spalding United
2-1 @ 9.8% ▲ (+0.11)
1-0 @ 8.25% ▲ (+0.59)
2-0 @ 7.56% ▼ (-0.30)
3-0 @ 6.35% ▲ (+1.00)
3-1 @ 6.28% ▼ (-0.35)
3-2 @ 4.04% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 15.84% ▲ (+1.04)
Total : 58.12%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.45% ▼ (-1.03)
2-2 @ 5.02% ▼ (-1.00)
0-0 @ 4.16% ▲ (+0.44)
3-3 @ 1.47% ▼ (-0.22)
Other @ 0.21% ▼ (-0.09)
Total : 19.31%
Bury Town
1-2 @ 5.58% ▼ (-0.30)
0-1 @ 4.16% ▼ (-0.47)
0-2 @ 2.99% ▲ (+0.14)
1-3 @ 2.47% ▲ (+0.05)
2-3 @ 2.19% ▼ (-0.31)
0-3 @ 1.23% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 3.95% ▲ (+0.71)
Total : 22.57%

Head to Head

FA Cup
Oct 3, 2026 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Ram Meadow
  • Jamie McGrath 8' goal
  • goal Dion Sembie-Ferris 45'