FA Cup
Sep 19, 2026 3.00pm
York Road Stadium

Maidenhead United vs Ebbsfleet - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Maidenhead United

All competitions

Ebbsfleet

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 51.37%. A win for Maidenhead United has a probability of 25.63% and a draw has a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win is 0-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.77%) and 0-2 (8.64%). The likeliest Maidenhead United win is 1-0 (6.69%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.25%).

Result

Maidenhead United 25.63% (-0.18)
Draw 23% (+0.36)
Ebbsfleet 51.37% (-0.18)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.27% (-0.23)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.63% (+0.29)
Under 1.5 23.37% (-0.29)
Over 2.5 54.02% (+0.30)
Under 2.5 45.98% (-0.30)
Over 3.5 31.53% (+0.45)
Under 3.5 68.47% (-0.44)
Over 4.5 19.29% (+0.22)
Under 4.5 80.71% (-0.23)

First Half Winner

Maidenhead United 21.24% (-0.44)
Draw 42.89% (-0.02)
Ebbsfleet 35.87% (+0.45)

Team To Score First

Maidenhead United 37.82% (-0.89)
No Goal 6.78% (-0.01)
Ebbsfleet 55.4% (+0.90)

Corners

Over 8 59.25% (+2.36)
Equal 8 11.31% (-0.39)
Under 8 29.44% (-1.96)
Over 9 47.59% (+2.53)
Equal 9 11.66% (-0.18)
Under 9 40.75% (-2.36)
Over 10.5 36.56% (+2.47)
Under 10.5 63.44% (-2.47)

Maidenhead United Goals

Over 1.5 27.9% (+0.09)
Under 1.5 72.1% (-0.10)
Over 2.5 9.92% (+0.07)
Under 2.5 90.08% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 2.96% (+0.17)
Under 3.5 97.04% (-0.17)

Ebbsfleet Goals

Over 0.5 78.11% (+0.10)
Under 0.5 21.89% (-0.09)
Over 1.5 49.43% (+0.44)
Under 1.5 50.57% (-0.44)
Over 2.5 25.11% (+0.42)
Under 2.5 74.89% (-0.41)
Over 3.5 10.42% (+0.16)
Under 3.5 89.58% (-0.16)

Score analysis

Maidenhead United 25.63%
Draw 22.99%
Ebbsfleet 51.38%
Maidenhead United
1-0 @ 6.69% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 6.35% (+0.05)
2-0 @ 3.71% (-0.13)
3-1 @ 2.18% (-0.08)
3-2 @ 1.99% (-0.06)
3-0 @ 1.81% (-0.08)
Other @ 2.9% (+0.13)
Total : 25.63%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.25% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 6.78% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.92% (+0.21)
Other @ 0.06% (+0.05)
Total : 22.99%
Ebbsfleet
0-1 @ 9.9% (-0.29)
1-2 @ 8.77% (-0.27)
0-2 @ 8.64% (+0.16)
0-3 @ 5.56% (+0.15)
1-3 @ 5.15% (+0.11)
2-3 @ 3% (-0.11)
Other @ 10.36% (+0.10)
Total : 51.38%

Head to Head

National League South Gameweek 15
Mar 17, 2026 7.45pm
2
3
HT : 0 1
FT York Road
  • L. Dulson 90'+1' goal
  • Matt Robinson 90'+4' goal
  • goal Josh Coley 33'
  • goal Toby Edser 64'
  • yellowcard Kwesi Appiah 77'
National League South
Jan 31, 2026 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stonebridge Road
  • Finlay Barnes 63' yellowcard
  • Ronny Nelson 71' goal
  • Dominic Samuel 76' goal
  • Maxx Manktelow 81' yellowcard
  • Aaron Cosgrave 86' yellowcard
  • Kwesi Appiah 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Kwesi Appiah 90'+4' goal
  • yellowcard Harry Pritchard 73'
  • yellowcard Sam Barratt 82'
National League Gameweek 45
Apr 26, 2025 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Stonebridge Road
  • goal Shawn McCoulsky 50'
  • goal Brendan Kiernan 59'
National League Gameweek 11
Sep 24, 2024 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT York Road
  • Tristan Abrahams 40' goal
  • Shawn McCoulsky 56' goal
  • Miles Welch-Hayes 88' yellowcard
  • Craig Ross 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Sam Barratt 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Craig Tanner 47'
  • yellowcard Mustapha Olagunju 69'
  • yellowcard Tom Dallison 83'
  • goal Josh Wright 90'+2'
National League Gameweek 30
Jan 23, 2024 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT York Road Stadium
  • Alan Massey 43' yellowcard
  • Zico Asare 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Craig Tanner 33'
  • yellowcard Declan Skura 50'
  • goal Dominic Samuel 82'
National League Gameweek 21
Nov 21, 2023 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stonebridge Road
  • Dominic Poleon 60' goal
  • yellowcard James Golding 17'
  • goal 18'
  • yellowcard Will De Havilland 45'+3'
  • goal Reece Smith 66'
  • yellowcard Sam Beckwith 88'