Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burgess Hill Town win with a probability of 44.95%. A win for Amersham Town had a probability of 34.08% and a draw had a probability of 21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burgess Hill Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.57%) and 3-2 (4.97%). The likeliest Amersham Town win was 1-2 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.