FA Cup
Sep 14, 2024 3.00pm
2
3
HT : 0 1
FT Leylands Park
  • Dan Perry 83' goal
  • goal Samir Shaffi 23'
  • goal Louis Stead 90'+7'

Burgess Hill Town vs Amersham Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Burgess Hill Town

All competitions

Amersham Town

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burgess Hill Town win with a probability of 44.95%. A win for Amersham Town had a probability of 34.08% and a draw had a probability of 21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burgess Hill Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.57%) and 3-2 (4.97%). The likeliest Amersham Town win was 1-2 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.

Result

Burgess Hill Town 44.95% (-1.95)
Draw 20.97% (-0.03)
Amersham Town 34.08% (+1.97)

Both Teams to Score: 

72.62% (+0.98)

Goals

Over 2.5 73.84% (+0.93)
Under 2.5 26.15% (-0.93)
Over 3.5 53.59% (+1.18)
Under 3.5 46.41% (-1.18)
Over 4.5 34.11% (+1.13)
Under 4.5 65.89% (-1.13)

Burgess Hill Town Goals

Over 0.5 87.28% (-0.26)
Under 0.5 12.72% (+0.26)
Over 1.5 61.05% (-0.53)
Under 1.5 38.95% (+0.53)

Amersham Town Goals

Over 0.5 83.21% (+1.36)
Under 0.5 16.79% (-1.37)
Over 1.5 53.25% (+2.38)
Under 1.5 46.75% (-2.38)

Score analysis

Burgess Hill Town 44.95%
Draw 20.97%
Amersham Town 34.08%
Burgess Hill Town
2-1 @ 8.1% (-0.27)
3-1 @ 5.57% (-0.25)
3-2 @ 4.97% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 4.54% (-0.37)
1-0 @ 4.4% (-0.31)
3-0 @ 3.12% (-0.29)
4-1 @ 2.87% (-0.16)
4-2 @ 2.56% (-0.02)
4-0 @ 1.61% (-0.17)
4-3 @ 1.52% (+0.06)
5-1 @ 1.18% (-0.08)
5-2 @ 1.06% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 44.95%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.86% (-0.19)
2-2 @ 7.23% (+0.09)
3-3 @ 2.96% (+0.14)
0-0 @ 2.14% (-0.13)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 20.97%
Amersham Town
1-2 @ 7.01% (+0.16)
2-3 @ 4.3% (+0.24)
1-3 @ 4.17% (+0.27)
0-1 @ 3.81% (-0.06)
0-2 @ 3.4% (+0.11)
0-3 @ 2.02% (+0.15)
2-4 @ 1.92% (+0.19)
1-4 @ 1.86% (+0.20)
3-4 @ 1.32% (+0.12)
Other @ 4.27%
Total : 34.08%