Euro 2020

European Championship | Group Stage

Jun 16, 2021 at 5pm UK

Bakı Olimpiya Stadionu

Turkey
0 - 2
Wales

Yilmaz (90+2'), Calhanoglu (90+2')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Ramsey (42'), Roberts (90+5')
Davies (90+2'), Mepham (90+2')

Reaction

Gareth Bale in action for Wales in November 2020

Gareth Bale delighted with huge win over Turkey

The Real Madrid forward had an eventful game, making two goals and missing a second-half penalty.

Jun 16, 21:30

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Turkey win with a probability of 41.62%. A win for Wales had a probability of 31.09% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Turkey win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (7.73%). The likeliest Wales win was 0-1 (9.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
Turkey	Draw	Wales
41.62%	27.29%	31.09%

Both teams to score 49%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.67%

56.33%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.64%

77.35%

Turkey Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.33%

26.67%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.08%

61.92%

Wales Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.81%

33.18%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.21%

69.79%

Score Analysis

Turkey 41.61%

Wales 31.09%

Draw 27.29%

Turkey	Draw	Wales
1-0 @ 11.69% 2-1 @ 8.53% 2-0 @ 7.73% 3-1 @ 3.76% 3-0 @ 3.41% 3-2 @ 2.07% 4-1 @ 1.24% 4-0 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.07% Total : 41.61%	1-1 @ 12.9% 0-0 @ 8.85% 2-2 @ 4.7% Other @ 0.84% Total : 27.29%	0-1 @ 9.76% 1-2 @ 7.12% 0-2 @ 5.39% 1-3 @ 2.62% 0-3 @ 1.98% 2-3 @ 1.73% Other @ 2.5% Total : 31.09%