European Championship
Jun 16, 2021 5.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Bakı Olimpiya Stadionu
  • Burak Yilmaz 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Hakan Calhanoglu 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Aaron Ramsey 42'
  • yellowcard Ben Davies 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Chris Mepham 90'+2'
  • goal Connor Roberts 90'+5'

Turkey vs Wales - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Result
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Turkey

All competitions
European Championship
Last game
Jun 11, 2021 8.00pm
Turkey 0 - 3 Italy

Wales

All competitions
European Championship
Last game
Jun 12, 2021 2.00pm
Wales 1 - 1 Switzerland

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Turkey win with a probability of 41.62%. A win for Wales had a probability of 31.09% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Turkey win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (7.73%). The likeliest Wales win was 0-1 (9.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result

Turkey 41.62%
Draw 27.29%
Wales 31.09%

Both Teams to Score: 

49%

Goals

Over 2.5 43.67%
Under 2.5 56.33%
Over 3.5 22.64%
Under 3.5 77.35%

Turkey Goals

Over 0.5 73.33%
Under 0.5 26.67%
Over 1.5 38.08%
Under 1.5 61.92%

Wales Goals

Over 0.5 66.81%
Under 0.5 33.18%
Over 1.5 30.21%
Under 1.5 69.79%

Score analysis

Turkey 41.61%
Draw 27.29%
Wales 31.09%
Turkey
1-0 @ 11.69%
2-1 @ 8.53%
2-0 @ 7.73%
3-1 @ 3.76%
3-0 @ 3.41%
3-2 @ 2.07%
4-1 @ 1.24%
4-0 @ 1.13%
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 41.61%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.9%
0-0 @ 8.85%
2-2 @ 4.7%
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 27.29%
Wales
0-1 @ 9.76%
1-2 @ 7.12%
0-2 @ 5.39%
1-3 @ 2.62%
0-3 @ 1.98%
2-3 @ 1.73%
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 31.09%

Build-up

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Predicted Lineups