Europa League Gameweek 4
Nov 5, 2026 5.45pm
Vivacom Arena - Georgi Asparuhov

Levski Sofia vs Jagiellonia Bialystok - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Levski Sofia

All competitions

Jagiellonia Bialystok

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Sep 16, 2026 8.00pm
Olympiacos 2 - 1 Jagiellonia

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Levski Sofia win with a probability of 41.65%. A win for Jagiellonia Bialystok has a probability of 34.99% and a draw has a probability of 23.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Levski Sofia win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.57%) and 2-0 (5.93%). The likeliest Jagiellonia Bialystok win is 1-2 (8.18%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.82%).

Result

Levski Sofia 41.65% ▼ (-0.74)
Draw 23.37% ▲ (+0.13)
Jagiellonia Bialystok 34.99% ▲ (+0.68)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.45% ▼ (-0.40)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.5% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 1.5 18.5% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 2.5 60.04% ▼ (-0.65)
Under 2.5 39.96% ▲ (+0.65)
Over 3.5 37.07% ▼ (-0.68)
Under 3.5 62.9% ▲ (+0.65)
Over 4.5 22.66% ▼ (-0.58)
Under 4.5 77.34% ▲ (+0.58)

First Half Winner

Levski Sofia 31.84% ▼ (-1.77)
Draw 42.93% ▲ (+2.00)
Jagiellonia Bialystok 25.23% ▼ (-0.24)

Team To Score First

Levski Sofia 51.98% ▲ (+0.67)
No Goal 4.53% ▲ (+0.11)
Jagiellonia Bialystok 43.49% ▼ (-0.77)

Corners

Over 8 56.45% ▲ (+2.75)
Equal 8 11.33% ▲ (+0.66)
Under 8 32.22% ▼ (-3.40)
Over 9 45.02% ▲ (+1.90)
Equal 9 11.43% ▲ (+0.86)
Under 9 43.55% ▼ (-2.75)
Over 10.5 34.42% ▲ (+0.97)
Under 10.5 65.58% ▼ (-0.97)

Levski Sofia Goals

Over 1.5 45.25% ▼ (-1.00)
Under 1.5 54.75% ▲ (+1.00)
Over 2.5 21.69% ▼ (-0.83)
Under 2.5 78.31% ▲ (+0.83)
Over 3.5 8.48% ▼ (-0.64)
Under 3.5 91.52% ▲ (+0.65)

Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals

Over 0.5 70.17% ▲ (+0.61)
Under 0.5 29.83% ▼ (-0.61)
Over 1.5 39.97% ▲ (+0.62)
Under 1.5 60.03% ▼ (-0.62)
Over 2.5 17.62% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 2.5 82.38% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 3.5 6.36% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 3.5 93.64% ▲ (+0.07)

Score analysis

Levski Sofia 41.65%
Draw 23.37%
Jagiellonia Bialystok 34.99%
Levski Sofia
2-1 @ 8.38% ▼ (-0.16)
1-0 @ 7.57% ▲ (+0.07)
2-0 @ 5.93% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 4.59% ▼ (-0.07)
3-0 @ 3.64% ▼ (-0.12)
3-2 @ 3.37% ▲ (+0.12)
Other @ 8.17% ▼ (-0.58)
Total : 41.65%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.82% ▲ (+0.33)
2-2 @ 6.1% ▼ (-0.12)
0-0 @ 4.53% ▲ (+0.11)
3-3 @ 1.61% ▼ (-0.12)
Other @ 0.31% ▼ (-0.08)
Total : 23.37%
Jagiellonia Bialystok
1-2 @ 8.18% ▲ (+0.19)
0-1 @ 6.41% ▼ (-0.13)
0-2 @ 4.7% ▲ (+0.33)
1-3 @ 3.73% ▲ (+0.11)
2-3 @ 3.15% ▲ (+0.07)
0-3 @ 2.77% ▲ (+0.13)
Other @ 6.05% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 34.99%