Europa League
Anderlecht
Aug 13, 2026 7.30pm
3
2
HT : 1 1
FT Lotto Park
PAOK
  • Léo Pétrot 20' goal
  • Lukas Ambros 47' goal
  • Danylo Sikan 55' goal
  • Lukas Ambros 80' yellowcard
  • Giulian Biancone 89' yellowcard
  • Nathan Saliba 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Andrija Zivkovic 34'
  • yellowcard Abdul Rahman Baba 43'
  • yellowcard Christos Zafeiris 82'
  • goal Alexander Jeremejeff 88'
  • redcard Andrija Zivkovic 89'
  • redcard Alexander Jeremejeff 90'+4'

Anderlecht vs PAOK - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Anderlecht

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Aug 6, 2026 6.45pm
PAOK 0 - 1 Anderlecht

PAOK

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Aug 6, 2026 6.45pm
PAOK 0 - 1 Anderlecht

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Anderlecht win with a probability of 40.87%. A win for PAOK had a probability of 34% and a draw had a probability of 25.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Anderlecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.81%) and 2-0 (6.46%). The likeliest PAOK win was 0-1 (7.9%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.

Result

Anderlecht 40.87% ▲ (+0.03)
Draw 25.13%
PAOK 34% ▼ (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.68% ▲ (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 77% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 1.5 23% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 53.65% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 46.35% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 31.11% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 3.5 68.89% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 4.5 17.84% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 4.5 82.16% ▼ (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Anderlecht 29.9%
Draw 43.65%
PAOK 26.45%

Team To Score First

Anderlecht 48.77% ▲ (+0.02)
No Goal 6.3% ▼ (-0.01)
PAOK 44.93%

Corners

Over 8 53.79%
Equal 8 11.22%
Under 8 34.99%
Over 9 42.69%
Equal 9 11.1%
Under 9 46.21%
Over 10.5 32.57%
Under 10.5 67.43%

Anderlecht Goals

Over 1.5 41.96% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 1.5 58.04% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 2.5 18.16% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 81.84% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 6.42% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 93.58% ▼ (-0.02)

PAOK Goals

Over 0.5 68.7% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 0.5 31.3% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 1.5 36.09%
Under 1.5 63.91%
Over 2.5 14.46%
Under 2.5 85.54%
Over 3.5 4.74%
Under 3.5 95.26%

Score analysis

Anderlecht 40.87%
Draw 25.13%
PAOK 34.01%
Anderlecht
2-1 @ 8.88% ▲ (+0.02)
1-0 @ 8.81%
2-0 @ 6.46%
3-1 @ 4.21% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.43%
3-2 @ 2.77% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 6.31% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 40.87%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.62%
0-0 @ 6.3% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.77% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.33%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.13%
PAOK
0-1 @ 7.9% ▼ (-0.01)
1-2 @ 7.83% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 5.26% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.3%
2-3 @ 2.69%
0-3 @ 2.4%
Other @ 4.63%
Total : 34.01%

Head to Head

Europa League
PAOK
Aug 6, 2026 6.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Toumbas
Anderlecht
  • Bojan Golubovic 38' yellowcard
  • Aritz Elustondo 86' yellowcard
  • goal Mihajlo Cvetkovic 1'
  • yellowcard Moussa Ndiaye 56'
  • yellowcard Enric Llansana 58'
  • yellowcard Danylo Sikan 90'+1'

Form Data

Anderlecht 2 - 1 La Louviere
PAOK 0 - 1 Anderlecht
Anderlecht 3 - 1 Hammarby
Hammarby 1 - 1 Anderlecht
Anderlecht 3 - 2 Nijmegen
Anderlecht 0 - 0 Boulogne
PAOK 0 - 1 Anderlecht
PAOK 2 - 0 Dynamo Kiev
Dynamo Kiev 2 - 3 PAOK
PAOK 0 - 0 FC Twente
PAOK 2 - 3 FC Twente
PAOK 3 - 2 Larnaca