Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Riga FC win with a probability of 48.57%. A win for Slask Wroclaw had a probability of 27.34% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Riga FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.42%) and 0-2 (7.91%). The likeliest Slask Wroclaw win was 2-1 (6.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.