UEFA Conference League

Conference League | First Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg

Jul 18, 2024 at 5pm UK

Camp de Futbol d'Aixovall

Inter Escaldes
5 - 1
Velez

(Inter Club d'Escaldes win 6-2 on aggregate)

Lopez (44', 45+2'), Berlanga (57', 84'), Andreu (90+2')
Feher (38'), Berlanga (85'), Martinez (88')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Orec (53')
Halilovic (27'), Mlinaric (29'), Orec (68')

Coverage of the Conference League First Qualifying Round clash between Inter Club d'Escaldes and Velez.

Form, Standings, Stats

Inter Club d'Escaldes

Last Game: Velez 1-1 Inter Escaldes
Wednesday, July 10 at 7pm in Europa Conference League

Velez

Last Game: Velez 1-1 Inter Escaldes
Wednesday, July 10 at 7pm in Europa Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Club d'Escaldes win with a probability of 52.68%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Velez had a probability of 22.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Club d'Escaldes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.87%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.77%), while for a Velez win it was 0-1 (7.26%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inter Club d'Escaldes would win this match.

Result
Inter Club d'Escaldes	Draw	Velez
52.68% ( 0.06)	24.79% ( 0)	22.53% ( -0.07)

Both teams to score 49.78% (

-0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.92% (

-0.09)

52.08% (

0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.19% (

-0.08)

73.8% (

0.08)

Inter Club d'Escaldes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.25% (

-0.01)

19.74% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.22% (

-0.02)

51.77% (

0.01)

Velez Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.02% (

-0.12)

37.97% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.25% (

-0.12)

74.74% (

0.11)

Score Analysis

Inter Club d'Escaldes 52.67%

Velez 22.53%

Draw 24.78%

Inter Club d'Escaldes	Draw	Velez
1-0 @ 12.16% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 9.87% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.55% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.34% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.17% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.5% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.16% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.1% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.01% ( -0) Other @ 2.82% Total : 52.67%	1-1 @ 11.77% 0-0 @ 7.5% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.63% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.89% Total : 24.78%	0-1 @ 7.26% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.7% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 3.52% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.59% Total : 22.53%