Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Club d'Escaldes win with a probability of 52.68%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Velez had a probability of 22.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Club d'Escaldes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.87%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.77%), while for a Velez win it was 0-1 (7.26%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inter Club d'Escaldes would win this match.