Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Athens win with a probability of 51.8%. A win for Inter Club d'Escaldes had a probability of 25.41% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an AEK Athens win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.54%) and 0-2 (7.87%). The likeliest Inter Club d'Escaldes win was 2-1 (6.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AEK Athens would win this match.