Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA 1948 Sofia win with a probability of 43.64%. A win for Buducnost Podgorica had a probability of 31.08% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a CSKA 1948 Sofia win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Buducnost Podgorica win was 0-1 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for CSKA 1948 Sofia in this match.