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UEFA Conference League

Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 25, 2024 at 6.30pm UK
Stadion Vitosha

CSKA 1948 Sofia
1 - 0
Buducnost

Karagaren (44')
Piscevic (14')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Gasevic (23'), Bulatovic (39')
Coverage of the Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between CSKA 1948 Sofia and Buducnost Podgorica.

Form, Standings, Stats

CSKA 1948 Sofia

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Last Game: FCSB 3-2 CSKA 1948 Sofia
Thursday, August 3 at 7.30pm in Europa Conference League
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Buducnost Podgorica

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Last Game: Buducnost 3-0 Malisheva
Thursday, July 18 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA 1948 Sofia win with a probability of 43.64%. A win for Buducnost Podgorica had a probability of 31.08% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a CSKA 1948 Sofia win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Buducnost Podgorica win was 0-1 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for CSKA 1948 Sofia in this match.

Result
CSKA 1948 SofiaDrawBuducnost Podgorica
43.64% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)25.28% (-0.055 -0.05)31.08% (0.083000000000002 0.08)
Both teams to score 55.3% (0.21899999999999 0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.8% (0.27 0.27)48.2% (-0.271 -0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.64% (0.245 0.24)70.35% (-0.248 -0.25)
CSKA 1948 Sofia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.94% (0.097999999999999 0.1)22.06% (-0.1 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.6% (0.152 0.15)55.4% (-0.153 -0.15)
Buducnost Podgorica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.95% (0.191 0.19)29.05% (-0.193 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.04% (0.23699999999999 0.24)64.96% (-0.239 -0.24)
Score Analysis
    CSKA 1948 Sofia 43.64%
    Buducnost Podgorica 31.08%
    Draw 25.28%
CSKA 1948 SofiaDrawBuducnost Podgorica
1-0 @ 9.69% (-0.078999999999999 -0.08)
2-1 @ 9.05% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 7.32% (-0.037999999999999 -0.04)
3-1 @ 4.56% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.69% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.82% (0.024 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.72% (0.011 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.39% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 1.07% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 43.64%
1-1 @ 11.97% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 6.41% (-0.072 -0.07)
2-2 @ 5.59% (0.032 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.16% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.28%
0-1 @ 7.92% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
1-2 @ 7.4% (0.019 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.9% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 3.05% (0.024 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.31% (0.026 0.03)
0-3 @ 2.02% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-4 @ 0.94% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 31.08%