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UEFA Conference League

Conference League | First Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 11, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Estadi Nacional
F91 Dudelange

Atletic Club d'Escaldes
0 - 1
Dudelange


Gutierrez Nsang (78'), Daniel Munoz Martinez (85')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Bojic (17')
Hadji (41'), Schaus (45'), Kirch (64'), Flick (78'), Davis Zrankeon (79'), Luisi (85')
Coverage of the Conference League First Qualifying Round clash between Atletic Club d'Escaldes and F91 Dudelange.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletic Club d'Escaldes

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Last Game: Partizani Tirana 4-1 Atletic Club d'Escaldes
Tuesday, August 1 at 7.45pm in Europa Conference League
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F91 Dudelange

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Last Game: Dudelange 2-1 Gzira
Wednesday, August 2 at 6.30pm in Europa Conference League
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a F91 Dudelange win with a probability of 40.93%. A win for Atletic Club d'Escaldes had a probability of 35.03% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a F91 Dudelange win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.56%) and 0-2 (6.02%). The likeliest Atletic Club d'Escaldes win was 2-1 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that F91 Dudelange would win this match.

Result
Atletic Club d'EscaldesDrawF91 Dudelange
35.03% (0.039000000000001 0.04)24.03% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)40.93% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 61.04% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.7% (0.048999999999999 0.05)41.3% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.31% (0.049999999999997 0.05)63.69% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Atletic Club d'Escaldes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.67% (0.043000000000006 0.04)23.33% (-0.044 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.71% (0.063000000000002 0.06)57.28% (-0.064 -0.06)
F91 Dudelange Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.62% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)20.38% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.2% (0.013000000000005 0.01)52.8% (-0.012 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Atletic Club d'Escaldes 35.03%
    F91 Dudelange 40.93%
    Draw 24.02%
Atletic Club d'EscaldesDrawF91 Dudelange
2-1 @ 8.01% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-0 @ 6.92% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.04% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 3.89% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.09% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.44% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 1.41% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.13% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 35.03%
1-1 @ 11% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.37% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.75% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.64% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 24.02%
1-2 @ 8.75% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-1 @ 7.56% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
0-2 @ 6.02% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.64%
2-3 @ 3.38% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 3.19% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 1.85%
2-4 @ 1.34% (0.002 0)
0-4 @ 1.27% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 40.93%