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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 76.52%. A draw had a probability of 14.2% and a win for ADO Den Haag had a probability of 9.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.23%) and 1-2 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.42%), while for an ADO Den Haag win it was 2-1 (2.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| ADO Den Haag | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
| 9.32% | 14.16% | 76.52% |
| Both teams to score 54.63% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.15% | 29.84% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.99% | 51.01% |
| ADO Den Haag Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.36% | 41.63% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.88% | 78.12% |
| PSV Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.6% | 6.4% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 76% | 24% |
| Score Analysis |
| ADO Den Haag | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
| 2-1 @ 2.81% 1-0 @ 2.34% 3-2 @ 1.13% 2-0 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.02% Total : 9.32% | 1-1 @ 6.42% 2-2 @ 3.87% 0-0 @ 2.67% 3-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 0.17% Total : 14.16% | 0-2 @ 10.07% 0-3 @ 9.23% 1-2 @ 8.83% 1-3 @ 8.09% 0-1 @ 7.33% 0-4 @ 6.34% 1-4 @ 5.56% 2-3 @ 3.54% 0-5 @ 3.49% 1-5 @ 3.06% 2-4 @ 2.44% 0-6 @ 1.6% 1-6 @ 1.4% 2-5 @ 1.34% Other @ 4.21% Total : 76.51% |