Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tromso IL win with a probability of 44.45%. A win for Viking FK had a probability of 30.9% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tromso IL win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.05%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest Viking FK win was 1-2 (7.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.