Norwegian Eliteserien Gameweek 12
Oct 25, 2026 4.00pm
Sarpsborg Stadion

Sarpsborg 08 vs Aalesund - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Sarpsborg 08

All competitions
Norwegian Eliteserien
Last game
Oct 18, 2026 1.30pm
Sarpsborg 0 - 3 Rosenborg
Goals scored
28
Top scorer
Sondre Sörli

Aalesund

All competitions
Norwegian Eliteserien
Last game
Oct 17, 2026 3.00pm
Kristiansund 1 - 4 Aalesund
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Mathias Christensen

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Sarpsborg 08 win with a probability of 42.84%. A win for Aalesund has a probability of 33.64% and a draw has a probability of 23.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sarpsborg 08 win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.21%) and 2-0 (5.65%). The likeliest Aalesund win is 1-2 (7.83%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.21%).

Result

Sarpsborg 08 42.84% ▲ (+0.11)
Draw 23.55% ▲ (+0.04)
Aalesund 33.64% ▼ (-0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

62.52% ▲ (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 82.77% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 1.5 17.23% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 2.5 62.59% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 2.5 37.41% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 3.5 40.12% ▲ (+0.16)
Under 3.5 59.88% ▼ (-0.16)
Over 4.5 24.74% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 4.5 75.26% ▼ (-0.10)

First Half Winner

Sarpsborg 08 38.15% ▲ (+0.06)
Draw 35.53% ▲ (+0.07)
Aalesund 26.32% ▼ (-0.13)

Team To Score First

Sarpsborg 08 57.03% ▼ (-0.01)
No Goal 4.24% ▼ (-0.02)
Aalesund 38.73% ▲ (+0.03)

Corners

Over 8 76.31% ▼ (-0.29)
Equal 8 8.09% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 8 15.6% ▲ (+0.26)
Over 9 66.71% ▼ (-0.31)
Equal 9 9.6% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 9 23.69% ▲ (+0.30)
Over 10.5 56.24% ▼ (-0.29)
Under 10.5 43.76% ▲ (+0.29)

Sarpsborg 08 Goals

Over 1.5 47.98% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 1.5 52.02% ▼ (-0.10)
Over 2.5 23.56% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 2.5 76.44% ▼ (-0.13)
Over 3.5 9.33% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 90.67% ▼ (-0.02)

Aalesund Goals

Over 0.5 70.61% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 0.5 29.39% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 1.5 40.8% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 59.2% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 18.22% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 2.5 81.78% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 6.59%
Under 3.5 93.41%

Score analysis

Sarpsborg 08 42.84%
Draw 23.55%
Aalesund 33.63%
Sarpsborg 08
2-1 @ 8.96% ▼ (-0.04)
1-0 @ 7.21% ▲ (+0.05)
2-0 @ 5.65%
3-1 @ 4.84% ▲ (+0.05)
3-2 @ 3.87% ▲ (+0.05)
3-0 @ 3.4% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 8.91%
Total : 42.84%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.21% ▲ (+0.04)
2-2 @ 6.56% ▼ (-0.03)
0-0 @ 4.24% ▼ (-0.02)
3-3 @ 2.12% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 0.42% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 23.55%
Aalesund
1-2 @ 7.83% ▼ (-0.02)
0-1 @ 5.8% ▼ (-0.05)
0-2 @ 4.32% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.99% ▲ (+0.04)
2-3 @ 3.25% ▲ (+0.03)
0-3 @ 2.27% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 6.17% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 33.63%

Head to Head

Norwegian Eliteserien Gameweek 23
Oct 11, 2026 4.00pm
2
4
HT : 0 1
FT Color Line Stadion
  • Elias Kristoffersen Hagen 70' goal
  • Elias Kristoffersen Hagen 74' goal
  • Ólafur Guðmundsson 80' yellowcard
  • goal Eirik Wichne 5'
  • yellowcard Bjørn Inge Utvik 9'
  • yellowcard Sigurd Rosted 40'
  • goal Sondre Sörli 51'
  • goal Noa Williams 54'
  • goal Olaus Skarsem 65'
Norwegian Eliteserien Gameweek 25
Oct 22, 2023 4.00pm
3
2
HT : 2 2
FT Color Line Stadion
  • Markus Karlsbakk 38' goal
  • Bjorn Martin Kristensen 40' goal
  • Moses Ebiye 90'+1' goal
  • goal Amidou Diop 23' (OG)
  • goal Mikkel Maigaard 43'
  • yellowcard Victor Torp 60'
Norwegian Eliteserien Gameweek 8
May 29, 2023 4.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT Sarpsborg Stadion
  • Christopher Baah 19' goal
  • Joachim Soltvedt 36' goal
  • Bjorn Inge Utvik 68' goal
  • goal Isaac Atanga 39'
Norwegian Eliteserien Gameweek 22
Sep 11, 2022 5.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Moses Ebiye 74' goal
  • goal Mikkel Maigaard 24'
  • goal Petar Golubovic 44' (OG)
  • goal Simon Tibbling 56'
Norwegian Eliteserien Gameweek 7
May 22, 2022 5.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Guillermo Molins 13' goal
  • Anton Skipper 50' yellowcard
  • Jorgen Horn 52' yellowcard
  • Serge Junior Martinsson-Ngouali 59' yellowcard
  • Mikkel Maigaard 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dario Canadija 23'
  • goal Sigurd Haugen 34'
  • yellowcard Simen Bolkan Nordli 38'
  • goal Sigurd Haugen 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Sigurd Haugen 90'+2'
Norwegian Eliteserien Gameweek 17
Sep 13, 2020 5.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Color Line Stadion
  • Niklas Castro 45'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Tobias Heintz 48'
  • yellowcard Bjorn Inge Utvik 81'
  • yellowcard David Mitov-Nilsson 86'