Norwegian Eliteserien Gameweek 20
Sep 6, 2026 4.00pm
Sarpsborg Stadion

Sarpsborg 08 vs Valerenga Fotball - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Sarpsborg 08

All competitions
Norwegian Eliteserien
Last game
Aug 30, 2026 4.00pm
Tromso 0 - 0 Sarpsborg
Goals scored
20
Top scorer
Daniel Karlsbakk

Valerenga Fotball

All competitions
Norwegian Eliteserien
Last game
Aug 30, 2026 4.00pm
Valerenga 3 - 4 Molde
Goals scored
31
Top scorer
Lucas Haren

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Sarpsborg 08 win with a probability of 38.39%. A win for Valerenga Fotball has a probability of 37.9% and a draw has a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sarpsborg 08 win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (6.9%) and 2-0 (5.21%). The likeliest Valerenga Fotball win is 1-2 (8.48%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.67%).

Result

Sarpsborg 08 38.39%
Draw 23.7% (-0.04)
Valerenga Fotball 37.9% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

61.66%

Goals

Over 1.5 82.43% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 17.57% (+0.06)
Over 2.5 61.26% (-0.10)
Under 2.5 38.74% (+0.10)
Over 3.5 38.49% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 61.51% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 23.21% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 76.79% (+0.05)

First Half Winner

Sarpsborg 08 29.18% (-0.20)
Draw 36.02% (-0.03)
Valerenga Fotball 34.8% (+0.23)

Team To Score First

Sarpsborg 08 46.22% (-0.06)
No Goal 4.33% (+0.01)
Valerenga Fotball 49.45% (+0.05)

Corners

Over 8 67.27% (-0.02)
Equal 8 9.83%
Under 8 22.9%
Over 9 56.48% (-0.02)
Equal 9 10.78%
Under 9 32.73%
Over 10.5 45.6% (-0.01)
Under 10.5 54.4% (+0.01)

Sarpsborg 08 Goals

Over 1.5 43.75% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 56.25% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 19.83% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 80.17% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 7.61% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 92.39% (+0.02)

Valerenga Fotball Goals

Over 0.5 73.3% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 26.7% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 43.53% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 56.47% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 19.87% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 80.13% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 7.32% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 92.68% (+0.03)

Score analysis

Sarpsborg 08 38.39%
Draw 23.71%
Valerenga Fotball 37.91%
Sarpsborg 08
2-1 @ 8.52% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 6.9% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 5.21% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.23%
3-2 @ 3.26%
3-0 @ 2.96% (-0.03)
Other @ 7.31% (-0.02)
Total : 38.39%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.67%
2-2 @ 6.64% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 4.33% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.77% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.3% (-0.02)
Total : 23.71%
Valerenga Fotball
1-2 @ 8.48% (-0.02)
0-1 @ 6.35% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 5.28% (+0.04)
1-3 @ 4.41% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 3.55%
0-3 @ 2.82% (-0.02)
Other @ 7.02% (-0.02)
Total : 37.91%

Head to Head

Norwegian Eliteserien
May 16, 2026 7.00pm
3
2
HT : 2 2
FT Intility Arena
  • Filip Thorvaldsen 6' goal
  • Elias Sørensen 20' goal
  • Elias Sørensen 20' yellowcard
  • Elias Sørensen 21' yellowcard
  • Hakon Sjatil 46' yellowcard
  • Odin Holm 64' yellowcard
  • M. Grundetjern 64' yellowcard
  • Petter Strand 83' yellowcard
  • Petter Strand 84' yellowcard
  • Fidel Brice Ambina 88' yellowcard
  • M. Grundetjern 90' goal
  • goal Daniel Karlsbakk 11'
  • goal Andreas Hansen 28'
  • yellowcard Magnar Odegaard 80'
  • yellowcard Bop Guèye 83'
  • yellowcard Noa Williams 83'
  • yellowcard Noa Williams 84'
  • yellowcard Bop Guèye 84'
  • yellowcard Eirik Wichne 90'
  • yellowcard Eirik Wichne 90'+3'
Norwegian Eliteserien
Aug 17, 2025 6.15pm
4
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Norwegian Eliteserien Gameweek 2
Apr 6, 2025 4.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Sarpsborg Stadion
  • Sander Christiansen 66' yellowcard
  • Frederik Carstensen 77' goal
  • Niklas Sandberg 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Elias Sorensen 23'
  • goal Magnus Riisnaes 45'+1'
Norwegian Eliteserien Gameweek 27
Nov 5, 2023 4.00pm
3
2
HT : 3 1
FT Sarpsborg Stadion
  • Mikkel Maigaard 7' goal
  • Niklas Sandberg 30' goal
  • Mikkel Maigaard 41' goal
  • Jo Inge Berget 47' yellowcard
  • goal Andrej Ilic 26'
  • yellowcard Henrik Bjordal 35'
  • yellowcard Christian Borchgrevink 42'
  • goal Aaron Kiil Olsen 81'
Norwegian Eliteserien Gameweek 2
Apr 16, 2023 6.15pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Intility Arena
  • goal Kristian Fardal Opseth 60'
  • goal Kristian Fardal Opseth 81'
Norwegian Eliteserien Gameweek 28
Oct 29, 2022 5.00pm
3
3
HT : 2 2
FT
  • Vegar Eggen Hedenstad 19' goal
  • Amor Layouni 45'+2' goal
  • Vegar Eggen Hedenstad 66' goal
  • goal Simon Tibbling 4'
  • goal Mikkel Maigaard 17'
  • goal Guillermo Molins 68'