Norwegian Eliteserien Gameweek 23
Oct 11, 2026 4.00pm
Color Line Stadion

Aalesund vs Sarpsborg 08 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Aalesund

All competitions
Norwegian Eliteserien
Last game
Sep 19, 2026 5.00pm
Molde 1 - 2 Aalesund
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Mathias Christensen

Sarpsborg 08

All competitions
Norwegian Eliteserien
Last game
Sep 18, 2026 6.00pm
Sarpsborg 1 - 3 KFUM
Goals scored
24
Top scorer
Daniel Karlsbakk

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Aalesund win with a probability of 37.32%. A win for Sarpsborg 08 has a probability of 35.26% and a draw has a probability of 27.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Aalesund win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (7.8%) and 2-0 (5.95%). The likeliest Sarpsborg 08 win is 0-1 (7.87%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.41%).

Result

Aalesund 37.32% ▲ (+0.21)
Draw 27.39% ▲ (+0.04)
Sarpsborg 08 35.26% ▼ (-0.33)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.3% ▼ (-0.17)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.82% ▼ (-0.33)
Under 1.5 25.18% ▲ (+0.33)
Over 2.5 52.45% ▼ (-0.40)
Under 2.5 47.55% ▲ (+0.40)
Over 3.5 31.57% ▼ (-0.31)
Under 3.5 68.43% ▲ (+0.31)
Over 4.5 18.91% ▼ (-0.25)
Under 4.5 81.09% ▲ (+0.25)

First Half Winner

Aalesund 32.42% ▲ (+0.02)
Draw 35.72% ▼ (-0.06)
Sarpsborg 08 31.86% ▲ (+0.06)

Team To Score First

Aalesund 42.53% ▲ (+0.11)
No Goal 7.92% ▲ (+0.05)
Sarpsborg 08 49.55% ▼ (-0.15)

Corners

Over 8 65.2% ▼ (-0.15)
Equal 8 9.26% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 8 25.54% ▲ (+0.13)
Over 9 55.18% ▼ (-0.17)
Equal 9 10.01%
Under 9 34.8% ▲ (+0.15)
Over 10.5 45.13% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 10.5 54.87% ▲ (+0.15)

Aalesund Goals

Over 1.5 38.55% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 1.5 61.45% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 2.5 16.46% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 2.5 83.54% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 5.62% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 94.38% ▲ (+0.04)

Sarpsborg 08 Goals

Over 0.5 68.56% ▼ (-0.30)
Under 0.5 31.44% ▲ (+0.31)
Over 1.5 38.06% ▼ (-0.47)
Under 1.5 61.94% ▲ (+0.47)
Over 2.5 16.96% ▼ (-0.36)
Under 2.5 83.04% ▲ (+0.36)
Over 3.5 6.7% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 3.5 93.3% ▲ (+0.15)

Score analysis

Aalesund 37.32%
Draw 27.39%
Sarpsborg 08 35.26%
Aalesund
1-0 @ 9.36% ▲ (+0.09)
2-1 @ 7.8% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 5.95% ▲ (+0.08)
3-1 @ 3.42% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 2.96% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.61%
Other @ 5.22% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 37.32%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.41% ▲ (+0.06)
0-0 @ 7.92% ▲ (+0.05)
2-2 @ 5.81% ▼ (-0.04)
3-3 @ 1.85% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.4% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 27.39%
Sarpsborg 08
0-1 @ 7.87% ▲ (+0.09)
1-2 @ 7.68% ▼ (-0.05)
0-2 @ 5% ▼ (-0.05)
1-3 @ 3.44% ▼ (-0.05)
2-3 @ 2.53% ▼ (-0.06)
0-3 @ 2.44% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 6.3% ▼ (-0.15)
Total : 35.26%

Head to Head

Norwegian Eliteserien Gameweek 25
Oct 22, 2023 4.00pm
3
2
HT : 2 2
FT Color Line Stadion
  • Markus Karlsbakk 38' goal
  • Bjorn Martin Kristensen 40' goal
  • Moses Ebiye 90'+1' goal
  • goal Amidou Diop 23' (OG)
  • goal Mikkel Maigaard 43'
  • yellowcard Victor Torp 60'
Norwegian Eliteserien Gameweek 8
May 29, 2023 4.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT Sarpsborg Stadion
  • Christopher Baah 19' goal
  • Joachim Soltvedt 36' goal
  • Bjorn Inge Utvik 68' goal
  • goal Isaac Atanga 39'
Norwegian Eliteserien Gameweek 22
Sep 11, 2022 5.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Moses Ebiye 74' goal
  • goal Mikkel Maigaard 24'
  • goal Petar Golubovic 44' (OG)
  • goal Simon Tibbling 56'
Norwegian Eliteserien Gameweek 7
May 22, 2022 5.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Guillermo Molins 13' goal
  • Anton Skipper 50' yellowcard
  • Jorgen Horn 52' yellowcard
  • Serge Junior Martinsson-Ngouali 59' yellowcard
  • Mikkel Maigaard 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dario Canadija 23'
  • goal Sigurd Haugen 34'
  • yellowcard Simen Bolkan Nordli 38'
  • goal Sigurd Haugen 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Sigurd Haugen 90'+2'
Norwegian Eliteserien Gameweek 17
Sep 13, 2020 5.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Color Line Stadion
  • Niklas Castro 45'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Tobias Heintz 48'
  • yellowcard Bjorn Inge Utvik 81'
  • yellowcard David Mitov-Nilsson 86'
Norwegian Eliteserien Gameweek 12
Aug 2, 2020 5.00pm
4
0
HT : 0 0
FT Sarpsborg Stadion
  • Ismaila Coulibaly 49' goal
  • Mustafa Abdellaoue 52' goal
  • Mustafa Abdellaoue 63' goal
  • Joachim Soltvedt 90'+2' goal