Norwegian Eliteserien Gameweek 16
Aug 2, 2026 4.00pm
Color Line Stadion

Aalesund vs Tromso IL - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Aalesund

All competitions
Norwegian Eliteserien
Last game
Jul 26, 2026 6.15pm
Aalesund 1 - 1 Viking FK
Goals scored
19
Top scorer
Kristian Lonebu

Tromso IL

All competitions
Norwegian Eliteserien
Last game
Jul 18, 2026 1.00pm
HamKam 1 - 4 Tromso
Goals scored
26
Top scorer
Jens Hjertø-Dahl

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Tromso IL win with a probability of 44.14%. A win for Aalesund has a probability of 30.3% and a draw has a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tromso IL win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.97%) and 0-2 (7.34%). The likeliest Aalesund win is 1-0 (8.18%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.8%).

Result

Aalesund 30.3% (+1.17)
Draw 25.6% (-0.19)
Tromso IL 44.14% (-0.93)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.38% (+1.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.06% (+0.72)
Under 1.5 25.94% (-0.72)
Over 2.5 50.3% (+0.80)
Under 2.5 49.7% (-0.80)
Over 3.5 29.21% (+0.61)
Under 3.5 70.79% (-0.61)
Over 4.5 16.52% (+0.24)
Under 4.5 83.48% (-0.23)

First Half Winner

Aalesund 24.51% (+1.04)
Draw 40.84% (+0.36)
Tromso IL 34.65% (-1.39)

Team To Score First

Aalesund 38.23% (+0.40)
No Goal 7.33% (-0.46)
Tromso IL 54.44% (+0.05)

Corners

Over 8 67.26% (+2.81)
Equal 8 10.59% (-0.09)
Under 8 22.15% (-2.73)
Over 9 55.55% (+2.56)
Equal 9 11.71% (+0.25)
Under 9 32.74% (-2.80)
Over 10.5 43.78% (+2.08)
Under 10.5 56.22% (-2.08)

Aalesund Goals

Over 1.5 31.66% (+1.36)
Under 1.5 68.34% (-1.36)
Over 2.5 11.89% (+0.75)
Under 2.5 88.11% (-0.74)
Over 3.5 3.66% (+0.25)
Under 3.5 96.34% (-0.24)

Tromso IL Goals

Over 0.5 74.58% (-0.05)
Under 0.5 25.42% (+0.05)
Over 1.5 42.35% (-0.38)
Under 1.5 57.65% (+0.38)
Over 2.5 18.62% (-0.40)
Under 2.5 81.38% (+0.40)
Over 3.5 6.34% (-0.22)
Under 3.5 93.66% (+0.22)

Score analysis

Aalesund 30.3%
Draw 25.6%
Tromso IL 44.15%
Aalesund
1-0 @ 8.18% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 6.88% (+0.21)
2-0 @ 4.61% (+0.25)
3-1 @ 3.07% (+0.28)
3-2 @ 2.21% (+0.15)
3-0 @ 1.7% (+0.04)
Other @ 3.65% (+0.26)
Total : 30.3%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.8% (+0.08)
0-0 @ 7.33% (-0.46)
2-2 @ 5.21% (+0.17)
3-3 @ 1.25% (+0.06)
Other @ 0.01% (-0.02)
Total : 25.6%
Tromso IL
0-1 @ 10.48% (-0.22)
1-2 @ 8.97% (+0.12)
0-2 @ 7.34% (-0.41)
1-3 @ 4.41% (-0.06)
0-3 @ 3.55% (-0.17)
2-3 @ 3.07%
Other @ 6.33% (-0.21)
Total : 44.15%

Head to Head

Norwegian Eliteserien Gameweek 10
May 25, 2026 4.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Alfheim Stadion
  • Sander Innvær 2' goal
  • Lars Olden Larsen 66' yellowcard
  • Daniel Braut 66' yellowcard
  • Daniel Braut 67' yellowcard
  • Lars Olden Larsen 67' yellowcard
  • Sigurd Prestmo 85' yellowcard
  • Sigurd Prestmo 86' yellowcard
  • goal Mathias Christensen 57'
  • yellowcard I. Djantou 67'
  • yellowcard Kristoffer Nessø 67'
  • yellowcard Kristoffer Nessø 68'
  • yellowcard I. Djantou 68'
  • yellowcard Hakon Butli Hammer 75'
  • yellowcard E. Engqvist 90'+3'
Norwegian Eliteserien Gameweek 24
Oct 8, 2023 4.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Alfheim Stadion
  • Christophe Psyche 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Vegard Erlien 52' goal
  • Lasse Nordas 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Erlend Segberg 40'
  • yellowcard Bjorn Martin Kristensen 45'
  • goal Markus Karlsbakk 45'+2'
  • yellowcard John Kitolano 73'
  • goal Hakon Butli Hammer 89'
Norwegian Eliteserien Gameweek 10
Jun 11, 2023 4.00pm
2
3
HT : 1 1
FT Color Line Stadion
  • Bjorn Martin Kristensen 23' goal
  • Markus Karlsbakk 82' goal
  • goal Vegard Erlien 40'
  • goal Vegard Erlien 54'
  • goal Niklas Vesterlund 73'
Norwegian Eliteserien Gameweek 30
Nov 13, 2022 4.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Warren Kamanzi 12' goal
  • August Mikkelsen 85' goal
  • goal Torbjorn Kallevag 20'
  • goal Moses Ebiye 35'
Norwegian Eliteserien Gameweek 3
Apr 18, 2022 5.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Sigurd Haugen 18' goal
  • Sigurd Haugen 69' goal
  • yellowcard Casper Oyvann 16'
  • goal Casper Oyvann 51'
  • goal Jostein Gundersen 90'+5'