EFL Trophy Gameweek 3
Nov 3, 2026 7.00pm
AESSEAL New York Stadium

Rotherham United vs Newcastle United Under-21s - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Rotherham United

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last game
Oct 6, 2026 7.00pm
Rotherham 0 - 4 Bradford

Newcastle United Under-21s

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last game
Sep 22, 2026 7.30pm
Bradford 2 - 1 Newcastle U21s

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Rotherham United win with a probability of 42.86%. A win for Newcastle United Under-21s has a probability of 35.65% and a draw has a probability of 21.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rotherham United win is 2-1 with a probability of 7.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.45%) and 2-0 (6.32%). The likeliest Newcastle United Under-21s win is 1-2 (7.47%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.38%).

Result

Rotherham United 42.86% ▼ (-0.18)
Draw 21.43%
Newcastle United Under-21s 35.65% ▲ (+0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.2% ▲ (+0.10)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.16% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 1.5 18.84% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 2.5 60.78% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 39.22% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 39.36% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 3.5 60.64% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 4.5 25.45% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 4.5 74.55% ▼ (-0.10)

First Half Winner

Rotherham United 35.04% ▼ (-0.17)
Draw 38.1% ▲ (+0.08)
Newcastle United Under-21s 26.87% ▲ (+0.11)

Team To Score First

Rotherham United 50.24% ▼ (-0.01)
No Goal 4.65% ▼ (-0.05)
Newcastle United Under-21s 45.11% ▲ (+0.05)

Corners

Over 8 49.72% ▼ (-0.26)
Equal 8 11.99% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 8 38.29% ▲ (+0.27)
Over 9 38.25% ▼ (-0.23)
Equal 9 11.47% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 9 50.28% ▲ (+0.26)
Over 10.5 28.17% ▼ (-0.17)
Under 10.5 71.83% ▲ (+0.18)

Rotherham United Goals

Over 1.5 46.08% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 1.5 53.92% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 2.5 23.26% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 76.74% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 9.62% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 90.38% ▼ (-0.02)

Newcastle United Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5 68.39% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 0.5 31.61% ▼ (-0.13)
Over 1.5 40.18% ▲ (+0.18)
Under 1.5 59.82% ▼ (-0.18)
Over 2.5 18.62% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 2.5 81.38% ▼ (-0.15)
Over 3.5 7.17% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 92.83% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Rotherham United 42.85%
Draw 21.44%
Newcastle United Under-21s 35.65%
Rotherham United
2-1 @ 7.63% ▼ (-0.05)
1-0 @ 7.45% ▼ (-0.05)
2-0 @ 6.32% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.52% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 3.8% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.62% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 9.51% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 42.85%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.38%
2-2 @ 5.6%
0-0 @ 4.65% ▼ (-0.05)
3-3 @ 1.7% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 0.11% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 21.44%
Newcastle United Under-21s
1-2 @ 7.47% ▲ (+0.01)
0-1 @ 6.68%
0-2 @ 4.69% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 3.79% ▲ (+0.05)
2-3 @ 3.27% ▲ (+0.05)
0-3 @ 2.69%
Other @ 7.06% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 35.65%

Head to Head

EFL Trophy
Oct 8, 2024 7.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT New York Stadium
  • Jordan Hugill 20' goal
  • Jack Holmes 31' yellowcard
  • H 41' yellowcard
  • Jordan Hugill 45'+2' goal
  • Cohen Bramall 56' yellowcard
  • Ben Hatton 63' yellowcard
  • Shaun McWilliams 72' yellowcard
  • Jordan Hugill 72' yellowcard
  • Detlef Esapa Osong 82' goal
  • yellowcard Ciaran Thompson 53'
  • goal Johnny Emerson 59'