EFL Trophy Gameweek 3
Nov 11, 2026 7.00pm
Oakwell Stadium

Barnsley vs Oldham Athletic - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Barnsley

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last game
Oct 6, 2026 7.00pm
Fleetwood 4 - 1 Barnsley

Oldham Athletic

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last game
Oct 13, 2026 7.00pm
Oldham 4 - 2 Leeds U21s

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Barnsley win with a probability of 40.94%. A win for Oldham Athletic has a probability of 35.48% and a draw has a probability of 23.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (6.14%) and 2-0 (4.89%). The likeliest Oldham Athletic win is 1-2 (8.12%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.83%).

Result

Barnsley 40.94% ▲ (+3.94)
Draw 23.52% ▲ (+0.50)
Oldham Athletic 35.48% ▼ (-4.50)

Both Teams to Score: 

63.74% ▲ (+3.36)

Goals

Over 1.5 84.22% ▲ (+3.35)
Under 1.5 15.78% ▼ (-3.35)
Over 2.5 65.03% ▲ (+4.93)
Under 2.5 34.97% ▼ (-4.93)
Over 3.5 42.03% ▲ (+5.17)
Under 3.5 57.97% ▼ (-5.17)
Over 4.5 27.49% ▲ (+4.90)
Under 4.5 72.51% ▼ (-4.90)

First Half Winner

Barnsley 32.11% ▲ (+1.49)
Draw 40.74% ▲ (+0.72)
Oldham Athletic 27.16% ▼ (-2.20)

Team To Score First

Barnsley 50.55% ▲ (+3.21)
No Goal 4.25% ▼ (-0.64)
Oldham Athletic 45.2% ▼ (-2.57)

Corners

Over 8 76.17% ▲ (+3.30)
Equal 8 8.02% ▼ (-0.31)
Under 8 15.81% ▼ (-2.99)
Over 9 66.67% ▲ (+3.33)
Equal 9 9.5% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 9 23.84% ▼ (-3.29)
Over 10.5 56.31% ▲ (+3.11)
Under 10.5 43.68% ▼ (-3.12)

Barnsley Goals

Over 1.5 47.65% ▲ (+6.76)
Under 1.5 52.35% ▼ (-6.76)
Over 2.5 24.17% ▲ (+5.21)
Under 2.5 75.83% ▼ (-5.21)
Over 3.5 10.35% ▲ (+3.58)
Under 3.5 89.65% ▼ (-3.58)

Oldham Athletic Goals

Over 0.5 71.35% ▼ (-2.14)
Under 0.5 28.65% ▲ (+2.13)
Over 1.5 43.3% ▼ (-0.82)
Under 1.5 56.7% ▲ (+0.82)
Over 2.5 20.49% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 79.51% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 8.15% ▲ (+0.36)
Under 3.5 91.85% ▼ (-0.36)

Score analysis

Barnsley 40.95%
Draw 23.53%
Oldham Athletic 35.48%
Barnsley
2-1 @ 8.69% ▲ (+0.67)
1-0 @ 6.14% ▼ (-0.92)
2-0 @ 4.89% ▼ (-0.10)
3-1 @ 4.18% ▲ (+0.30)
3-2 @ 3.72% ▲ (+0.29)
3-0 @ 3.51% ▲ (+0.40)
Other @ 9.82% ▲ (+3.32)
Total : 40.95%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.83% ▼ (-0.44)
2-2 @ 6.51% ▲ (+0.68)
0-0 @ 4.25% ▼ (-0.64)
3-3 @ 2.41% ▲ (+0.65)
Other @ 0.53% ▲ (+0.26)
Total : 23.53%
Oldham Athletic
1-2 @ 8.12% ▼ (-0.74)
0-1 @ 5.35% ▼ (-1.85)
0-2 @ 4.46% ▼ (-1.06)
1-3 @ 3.86% ▼ (-0.73)
2-3 @ 3.39% ▲ (+0.32)
0-3 @ 2.68% ▼ (-0.57)
Other @ 7.62% ▲ (+0.09)
Total : 35.48%

Head to Head

EFL Trophy Gameweek 1
Sep 4, 2018 7.30pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Boundary Park (Oldham, Greater Manchester)
  • Sam Surridge 31' goal
  • goal Victor Adeboyejo 44'
  • yellowcard Adam Jackson 54'
  • goal George Moncur 82'
League One
Apr 12, 2016 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Sam Winnall 45' goal
  • Sam Winnall 55' yellowcard
  • Sam Winnall 83' goal
  • yellowcard Anthony Gerrard 52'
  • goal Curtis Main 68'
  • yellowcard Cameron Dummigan 74'
  • yellowcard Timothee Dieng 81'
League One
Nov 21, 2015 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Brian Wilson 10' yellowcard
  • Mark Yeates 78' goal
  • Mark Yeates 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Marley Watkins 21'
  • goal Conor Hourihane 30'
  • yellowcard Aidan White 32'
  • yellowcard Ben Pearson 71'
  • goal Kevin Long 89'
League One
Mar 14, 2015 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Adam Lockwood 7' yellowcard
  • Connor Brown 35' yellowcard
  • Mike Jones 42' goal
  • Luke Woodland 45' yellowcard
  • Adam Lockwood 95' redcard
  • Conor Wilkinson 96' yellowcard
  • goal Lewin Nyatanga 33'
  • goal Conor Hourihane 39'
  • goal Lewin Nyatanga 70'
  • yellowcard Ben Pearson 74'
  • yellowcard Jabo Ibehre 89'
League One
Feb 3, 2015 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Kane Hemmings 12' goal
  • yellowcard Brian Wilson 36'
Johnstone's Paint Trophy
Oct 7, 2014 7.30pm
2
2
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Dominic Poleon 22' goal
  • Danny Philliskirk 44' goal
  • Dominic Poleon 64' yellowcard
  • goal Luke Berry 53'
  • yellowcard James Bailey 74'
  • goal Sam Winnall 90'