EFL Cup

EFL Cup | Third Round

Sep 21, 2021 at 7.45pm UK

Craven Cottage

Fulham
0 - 0
Leeds

FT
(aet)

Summerville (67'), Bielsa (75')

Leeds win 6-5 on penalties

Reaction

Leeds United manager Marcelo Bielsa on August 24, 2021

Bielsa pleased for youngsters as Leeds edge past Fulham on 'difficult night'

Teenager Stuart McKinstry and Joe Gelhardt both scored in the shoot-out.

Sep 21, 21:43

The Match

Match Report

Rodrigo Muniz missed the crucial spot-kick for the Cottagers.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Fulham and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham win with a probability of 38.22%. A win for Leeds United had a probability of 36.71% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fulham win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.39%) and 2-0 (6.03%). The likeliest Leeds United win was 1-2 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%).

Result
Fulham	Draw	Leeds United
38.22%	25.06%	36.71%

Both teams to score 57.51%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.03%

45.97%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.72%

68.28%

Fulham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.24%

23.75%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.1%

57.9%

Leeds United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.43%

24.56%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.94%

59.05%

Score Analysis

Fulham 38.22%

Leeds United 36.71%

Draw 25.06%

Fulham	Draw	Leeds United
2-1 @ 8.46% 1-0 @ 8.39% 2-0 @ 6.03% 3-1 @ 4.06% 3-0 @ 2.89% 3-2 @ 2.85% 4-1 @ 1.46% 4-0 @ 1.04% 4-2 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.04% Total : 38.22%	1-1 @ 11.77% 2-2 @ 5.94% 0-0 @ 5.84% 3-3 @ 1.33% Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.06%	1-2 @ 8.27% 0-1 @ 8.19% 0-2 @ 5.75% 1-3 @ 3.87% 2-3 @ 2.78% 0-3 @ 2.69% 1-4 @ 1.36% 2-4 @ 0.98% 0-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.89% Total : 36.71%