Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong Ajax win with a probability of 54.46%. A win for Den Bosch had a probability of 23.12% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9%) and 2-0 (8.5%). The likeliest Den Bosch win was 1-2 (6.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.