Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Emmen win with a probability of 50.05%. A win for Cambuur had a probability of 27.66% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Emmen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.19%) and 2-0 (6.86%). The likeliest Cambuur win was 1-2 (6.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Emmen would win this match.