Nuremberg logo
DFB-Pokal | Round of 16
Feb 8, 2023 at 5pm UK
Max-Morlock-Stadion
Fortuna Dusseldorf logo

Nuremberg
1 - 1
Dusseldorf

Duman (90+3')
FT
(aet)
Kownacki (33')
Nuremberg win 5-3 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's DFB-Pokal clash between Nuremberg and Fortuna Dusseldorf, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nuremberg

All competitions
DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Greuther Furth 1-0 Nuremberg
Saturday, February 4 at 7.30pm in 2.Bundesliga

Fortuna Dusseldorf

All competitions
DFB-Pokal
Last Game: SC Paderborn 4-1 Dusseldorf
Friday, February 3 at 5.30pm in 2.Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Dusseldorf win with a probability of 38.37%. A win for Nuremberg had a probability of 38.01% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.74%) and 0-2 (5.33%). The likeliest Nuremberg win was 2-1 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.6%).

Result
NurembergDrawFortuna Dusseldorf
38.01% (-0.294 -0.29)23.61% (-0.084 -0.08)38.37% (0.376 0.38)
Both teams to score 62.97% (0.314 0.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.07% (0.40900000000001 0.41)38.92% (-0.411 -0.41)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.76% (0.429 0.43)61.24% (-0.43 -0.43)
Nuremberg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.27% (0.039000000000001 0.04)20.73% (-0.038999999999998 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.65% (0.059000000000005 0.06)53.35% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)
Fortuna Dusseldorf Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.44% (0.358 0.36)20.56% (-0.359 -0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.92% (0.564 0.56)53.08% (-0.566 -0.57)
Score Analysis
    Nuremberg 38.01%
    Fortuna Dusseldorf 38.37%
    Draw 23.6%
NurembergDrawFortuna Dusseldorf
2-1 @ 8.35% (-0.049000000000001 -0.05)
1-0 @ 6.71% (-0.122 -0.12)
2-0 @ 5.28% (-0.09 -0.09)
3-1 @ 4.38% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.46% (0.022 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.77% (-0.043 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.72% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.36% (0.011 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.09% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 38.01%
1-1 @ 10.6% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-2 @ 6.6% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 4.26% (-0.083 -0.08)
3-3 @ 1.83% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 23.6%
1-2 @ 8.39% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
0-1 @ 6.74% (-0.055000000000001 -0.06)
0-2 @ 5.33% (0.015 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.42% (0.066000000000001 0.07)
2-3 @ 3.48% (0.056 0.06)
0-3 @ 2.81% (0.038 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.75% (0.045 0.04)
2-4 @ 1.38% (0.037 0.04)
0-4 @ 1.11% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 38.37%

How you voted: Nuremberg vs Dusseldorf

Nuremberg
28.7%
Draw
26.4%
Fortuna Dusseldorf
44.8%
87
Head to Head
Oct 15, 2022 12pm
Dusseldorf
0-1
Nuremberg
Duah (47')
Geis (15')
Jan 21, 2022 5.30pm
Dusseldorf
0-1
Nuremberg

Sobottka (23'), Hennings (82'), Oberdorf (84'), Kownacki (90+1')
Tempelmann (2')
Tempelmann (21')
Aug 14, 2021 12.30pm
Nuremberg
2-0
Dusseldorf
Schindler (58'), Valentini (90+8' pen.)
Daehli (9'), Geis (51'), Schindler (75')

Prib (5'), Appelkamp (55'), Klarer (62')
Mar 7, 2021 12.30pm
Dusseldorf
3-1
Nuremberg
Hoffmann (48'), Sobottka (77'), Sorg (90+5' og.)
Prib (87'), Kastenmeier (90+4')
Borkowski (62')
Muhl (29')
Nov 7, 2020 12pm
Nuremberg
1-1
Dusseldorf
Schaffler (15' pen.)
Sorensen (42')
Karaman (30')
Hennings (29'), Appelkamp (90+2')