Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Dresden win with a probability of 44.27%. A win for SV Darmstadt 98 had a probability of 33.15% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Dresden win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.27%) and 2-0 (5.7%). The likeliest SV Darmstadt 98 win was 1-2 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.