Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Midtjylland win with a probability of 50.58%. A win for Randers had a probability of 25.93% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Midtjylland win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.19%) and 2-0 (8.07%). The likeliest Randers win was 1-2 (6.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Midtjylland would win this match.