Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aarhus win with a probability of 38.93%. A win for Nordsjaelland had a probability of 35.45% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aarhus win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (6.41%). The likeliest Nordsjaelland win was 0-1 (8.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aarhus would win this match.