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[monks data]
FC Dallas
Major League Soccer | Gameweek 11
Jun 20, 2021 at 1.30am UK
Pizza Hut Park
Minnesota United

Dallas
1 - 1
Minnesota Utd

Pepi (68')
Pepi (84'), Jara (89')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Fragapane (36')
Dibassy (2'), Gasper (67'), Boxall (89')

Preview: Dallas vs. Minnesota United - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Dallas and Minnesota United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Dallas will look to end a four-game winless slide on Saturday when they play host to Minnesota United at Toyota Stadium.

The Toros dropped a 3-0 decision to the Colorado Rapids before the international break, while the Loons salvaged a point with a late goal in their previous match that ended in a 1-1 draw with Real Salt Lake.


Match preview

FC Dallas head coach Luchi Gonzalez on May 30, 2021© Reuters

The month of May began promisingly for Luchi Gonzalez and his team with a 4-1 win over the Portland Timbers, but since then, the season has quickly deteriorated, as they have lost two of their last three games, including a 1-0 defeat at Minnesota.

With three of their next four games at home, Gonzalez knows this is a prime opportunity for his team to make up some ground in the Western Conference standings.

They have been a lot livelier and created many more scoring opportunities on their home soil at Toyota Stadium, firing 29 shots in a 2-2 draw with Real Salt Lake, yet they had the game in their hands until conceding in the 86th minute.

They may be dead last in the table right now, but they are far from out of the playoff race, as they are only three points behind the Portland Timbers for the last post-season berth, although there are five other teams not including the Timbers, also in the hunt.

Toyota Stadium will be operating at full capacity for the first time all season, and the Toros will hope that energy and enthusiasm can keep them undefeated at home in this campaign as they look to climb out of the Western Conference cellar.

Minnesota dug themselves a deep hole to start the regular season, losing their opening four matches, but since then, they have started to play up to their potential, and are currently riding a three-match unbeaten streak.

They appear to be going in the right direction, but they still have plenty of work to do to get out of their current predicament that has them sitting in 12th in the Western Conference, just one point above Dallas.

Offensively, Adrian Heath has seen his side struggle to fill the void left by striker Kevin Molino, who scored 13 goals for this club last season before joining the defending MLS Cup champions, the Columbus Crew.

The Loons have developed a knack for the dramatics, scoring four of their six goals with less than 20 minutes to play in their matches.

If you take away their 4-0 defeat in their opening fixture to the Seattle Sounders, you will see that this side have been able to hang around in every game but have lacked that individual quality in front of goal in the early portion of this campaign.

Dallas Major League Soccer form:
  • L
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • D
  • L

Minnesota United Major League Soccer form:
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • D



Team News

Minnesota United FC head coach Adrian Heath on May 30, 2021© Reuters

There is some good news for Dallas heading back into action following the international break, as striker Jesus Ferreira returned to first-team training and could be available after missing with a shoulder injury.

Midfielder Thomas Roberts is still recovering from a leg injury, while reserve keeper Kyle Zobeck has a hamstring injury.

Brandon Servania and Justin Che are back from their European loan spells, which comes at a good time for the club.

Striker Szabolcs Schon is on international duty for Hungary, and he nearly caused a massive upset in their opening game, scoring in the 77th minute against Portugal only to have it ruled out for offside as the Hungarians went on to lose 3-0.

Adrian Heath made a bold move, replacing starting goalkeeper Dayne St. Clair with Tyler Miller, and the change has paid off, with the 28-year-old going unbeaten in his three starts, making 12 saves and picking up two clean sheets.

The Loons will have to make do without a few key players, as leading goalscorer Robin Lod, plus midfielder Jan Gregus and defender Jukka Raitala are all representing Finland at the Euros.

Dallas possible starting lineup:
Maurer; Hollingshead, Martinez, Bressan, Nelson; Acosta, Tessmann; Servania, Obrian; Jara; Ferreira

Minnesota United possible starting lineup:
Miller; Gasper, Dibassy, Boxall, Metanire; Trapp; Dotson, Hayes, Hansen, Abila; Hunou


SM words green background

We say: Dallas 2-0 Minnesota United

The Toros have some key players who could be ready to return, while the Loons are missing their leading goalscorer and one of their best playmakers because of the Euros.

Dallas have been heading on a downward trajectory, but they are facing a Minnesota side that have struggled all season to score goals, and that was with Lod and Gregus in the fold.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dallas win with a probability of 54.09%. A win for Minnesota United had a probability of 23.73% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dallas win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.44%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Minnesota United win was 1-2 (6.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Dallas vs Minnesota Utd

Dallas
69.2%
Draw
23.1%
Minnesota United
7.7%
13
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Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami105322215718
2New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls9441139416
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati9432108215
4Columbus Crew9351129314
5Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia7340149513
6Toronto9414912-313
7Atlanta UnitedAtlanta8323139411
8New York City FCNY City932499011
9Charlotte FCCharlotte FC9324911-211
10CF MontrealMontreal83231216-411
11DC United92431214-210
12Orlando City82331015-59
13Chicago Fire92341118-79
14Nashville SCNashville8143916-77
15New England RevolutionNew England8116514-94

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy95312115618
2Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver8512179816
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake9432158715
4Colorado RapidsColorado94321513215
5Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd8422139414
6Houston DynamoHouston841398113
7Los Angeles FCLos Angeles93331514112
8St Louis City92611514112
9Austin FCAustin93331213-112
10Sporting Kansas CityKansas92521716111
11Portland TimbersPortland92431818010
12Seattle SoundersSeattle81349906
13Dallas8125712-55
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes91081324-113


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