Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MFK Karvina win with a probability of 39.56%. A win for Pardubice had a probability of 34.26% and a draw had a probability of 26.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a MFK Karvina win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.79%) and 2-0 (6.1%). The likeliest Pardubice win was 1-2 (8.24%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.