Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hradec Kralove win with a probability of 39.05%. A win for MFK Karvina had a probability of 35.22% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hradec Kralove win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest MFK Karvina win was 0-1 (8.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hradec Kralove would win this match.