EFL Trophy Gameweek 1
Sep 22, 2026 7.00pm
4
1
HT : 2 0
FT Alexandra Stadium
  • Owen Lunt  11' yellowcard
  • Luke Offord 31' goal
  • Adrien Thibaut 40' goal
  • Jack Lankester 48' goal
  • Lewis Billington 65' yellowcard
  • Jack Lankester 88' goal
  • yellowcard Leon Routh 62'
  • goal Max Jenner 85'

Crewe Alexandra vs Aston Villa Under-21s - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Crewe Alexandra

All competitions

Aston Villa Under-21s

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last game
Aug 25, 2026 7.00pm
Blackpool 0 - 0 Aston Villa U21s

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 49%. A win for Aston Villa Under-21s had a probability of 28.89% and a draw had a probability of 22.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.22%) and 2-0 (6.6%). The likeliest Aston Villa Under-21s win was 1-2 (7.26%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.1%).

Result

Crewe Alexandra 49%
Draw 22.11%
Aston Villa Under-21s 28.89%

Both Teams to Score: 

58.69%

Goals

Over 1.5 81.04%
Under 1.5 18.96%
Over 2.5 60.44%
Under 2.5 39.56%
Over 3.5 36.64%
Under 3.5 63.36%
Over 4.5 22.54%
Under 4.5 77.46%

First Half Winner

Crewe Alexandra 38.31%
Draw 37.42%
Aston Villa Under-21s 24.27%

Team To Score First

Crewe Alexandra 55.97%
No Goal 5.07%
Aston Villa Under-21s 38.96%

Corners

Over 8 59.52%
Equal 8 11.46%
Under 8 29.02%
Over 9 47.67%
Equal 9 11.84%
Under 9 40.48%
Over 10.5 36.47%
Under 10.5 63.53%

Crewe Alexandra Goals

Over 1.5 50.05%
Under 1.5 49.95%
Over 2.5 26.47%
Under 2.5 73.53%
Over 3.5 10.48%
Under 3.5 89.52%

Aston Villa Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5 64.65%
Under 0.5 35.35%
Over 1.5 33.93%
Under 1.5 66.07%
Over 2.5 13.67%
Under 2.5 86.33%
Over 3.5 4.75%
Under 3.5 95.25%

Score analysis

Crewe Alexandra 49.01%
Draw 22.1%
Aston Villa Under-21s 28.88%
Crewe Alexandra
2-1 @ 9.34%
1-0 @ 8.22%
2-0 @ 6.6%
3-1 @ 5.62%
3-0 @ 5.18%
3-2 @ 3.78%
Other @ 10.27%
Total : 49.01%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.1%
2-2 @ 5.31%
0-0 @ 5.07%
3-3 @ 1.41%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 22.1%
Aston Villa Under-21s
1-2 @ 7.26%
0-1 @ 5.66%
0-2 @ 3.91%
1-3 @ 3.17%
2-3 @ 2.33%
0-3 @ 2.01%
Other @ 4.54%
Total : 28.88%