Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 12, 2021 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Centenario
Independiente

Torque
1 - 1
Independiente

Del Prete (44' pen.)
Pizzichillo (31'), Allende (40'), Rak (61'), Guerrero (89'), Arismendi (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Herrera (90+1' pen.)
Rodriguez (19'), Bustos (33'), Romero (62'), Costa (65'), Velasco (77'), Ostachuk (81'), Blanco (90+3')
Ignacio Pacchini (55'), Romero (62')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Montevideo City Torque and Independiente.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 37.03%. A win for Montevideo City Torque had a probability of 34.34% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.71%) and 0-2 (6.98%). The likeliest Montevideo City Torque win was 1-0 (11.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.

Result
Montevideo City TorqueDrawIndependiente
34.34%28.63%37.03%
Both teams to score 45.86%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.4%60.6%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.31%80.69%
Montevideo City Torque Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.85%33.14%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.25%69.75%
Independiente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.6%31.4%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.23%67.77%
Score Analysis
    Montevideo City Torque 34.34%
    Independiente 37.02%
    Draw 28.62%
Montevideo City TorqueDrawIndependiente
1-0 @ 11.49%
2-1 @ 7.35%
2-0 @ 6.35%
3-1 @ 2.71%
3-0 @ 2.34%
3-2 @ 1.57%
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 34.34%
1-1 @ 13.31%
0-0 @ 10.4%
2-2 @ 4.26%
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 28.62%
0-1 @ 12.05%
1-2 @ 7.71%
0-2 @ 6.98%
1-3 @ 2.98%
0-3 @ 2.7%
2-3 @ 1.64%
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 37.02%